Belarus is expected to experience cool weather on August 28, but temperatures are projected to begin rising the following day, August 29. Daytime temperatures are forecast to remain generally within the 19–29°C range through September 2, with temperatures in the south potentially reaching 31°C on August 31. However, the warming trend may coincide with rain, thunderstorms, and strong gusts in some areas.
Key Changes
August 28 is expected to be generally dry and cool. Overnight temperatures may range from 6–12°C, falling to 3–5°C in some areas, while daytime temperatures are forecast at 19–24°C. From August 29, daytime temperatures are expected to gradually rise, generally reaching 19–29°C through September 2.
This change indicates a temporary return of warm, summer-like weather rather than a continuation of the recent cool conditions. However, regional differences may occur, so the weather is not expected to change in exactly the same way across all of Belarus.
After the cool conditions on August 28, temperatures are expected to begin rising on August 29, with 31°C possible in the south on August 31.
Current Situation
In terms of temperature, the period from August 29 through September 2 is expected to trend warmer. In particular, temperatures in the south could reach 31°C on August 31, making that region’s temperature change more notable than on other dates or in other areas.
However, this outlook does not mean that the weather will be exclusively clear and warm. On August 29 and September 1, atmospheric fronts and unstable air could bring rain and thunderstorms to some areas. Strong gusts during the daytime are also possible.
Therefore, rising temperatures and the possibility of precipitation and thunderstorms may occur during the same period. Rather than judging the overall weather solely by daily high temperatures, it is important to review regional forecasts for the days when rain and thunderstorms are expected.
Impact
The first things readers should check in this outlook are the date and the region. Cool conditions may be most noticeable in the morning and at night on August 28, but the daytime temperature trend changes from August 29. The possibility of 31°C in the south on August 31 shows that the warmer conditions may be more pronounced in certain areas.
At the same time, some areas may experience rain, thunderstorms, and strong daytime gusts on August 29 and September 1. Anyone planning outdoor activities or travel should check the latest announcements for the relevant region. The possibility of thunderstorms and gusts does not mean that the same conditions will apply across all of Belarus; they may vary by region.
The yellow danger level should also be assessed by area. A yellow danger level was confirmed through the official channel for Gomel Region on August 29, but it cannot be assumed that the same alert level was issued across Belarus. The relevant regional announcement and the latest warnings from the official weather service should be checked separately.
Next Checkpoint
Forecasts may change after publication, so official forecasts should be reviewed again by date and region before making actual travel or activity plans. A suitable order is to first check the temperature rise and the possibility of rain and thunderstorms on August 29, then confirm the possibility of 31°C in the south on August 31.
On September 1, it is also necessary to check whether the possibility of rain, thunderstorms, and daytime gusts associated with atmospheric fronts and unstable air remains in place. For information related to the yellow danger level, the latest announcements from the Belgidromet official weather service and the relevant regional official channel should both be checked.
The key point in the current outlook is that it combines a temperature rise after cool weather with instability during the warming period. Because both the temperature range and danger levels may change according to the latest announcements, it is safest not to interpret this outlook as the actual situation in any specific area.